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Prediction markets for Customs Department

Will Fable be reenabled for Europeans before Americans?

Jun 18, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.29%chance

1311190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8735

114

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?

Jan 24, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

878733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.38%chance

175992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14789

6762

Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?

Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

29.77%chance

363321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1536

651

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

11.02%chance

111566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1753

147

Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:27 AM

23.35%chance

181074

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

55

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

12669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

Will Fable 5 be reenabled for Everyone at the same time?

Jun 22, 6:25 PMDec 31, 7:24 PM

38%chance

22515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Hamideh Soleimani the niece of late IRGC General Qassem Soleimani?

Apr 6, 9:45 PMApr 13, 9:44 PM

44.77%chance

5268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

900

Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

Dec 15, 7:21 AMJun 30, 7:05 AM

17.83%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

97

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