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Prediction markets for CVM

Will the FDA conditionally approve a drug to extend lifespan or healthspan in dogs before January 1, 2028?

Oct 1, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.13%chance

31124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1797

Which species will get the first regulator-approved drug with lifespan extension as the indication?

Oct 1, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6680

OptionProbability

Dogs

None before 2035

Another species

Humans

41

25

21

12

Will the FDA approve any drug for an aging indication in humans before January 1, 2035?

Oct 1, 4:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.01%chance

3222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2247

2040

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