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Prediction markets for Cyber Infrastructure
Prediction markets for Cyber Infrastructure
Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
Jun 1, 2:14 PM
Dec 31, 4:59 PM
15.73%
chance
53
6624
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4982
1365
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2030?
Jun 2, 9:14 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
18.76%
chance
41
3580
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2081
481
AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
Sep 20, 7:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.52%
chance
6
1498
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1440
694
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
Jun 1, 12:28 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
31.53%
chance
25
1478
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1474
679
Will Venezuela retaliate?
Jan 5, 4:29 PM
Dec 31, 4:29 PM
16.45%
chance
16
968
Option
Votes
YES
NO
225
44
Will Russia retaliate to the US's capture of Maduro
Jan 3, 10:23 AM
Apr 3, 9:20 AM
2.99%
chance
13
828
Option
Votes
YES
NO
317
88
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