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Prediction markets for Cyber Infrastructure
Prediction markets for Cyber Infrastructure
Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
Jun 1, 2:14 PM
Dec 31, 4:59 PM
15.68%
chance
52
6622
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4993
1363
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2030?
Jun 2, 9:14 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
16%
chance
39
3505
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2291
436
AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
Sep 20, 7:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.52%
chance
6
1498
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1440
694
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
Jun 1, 12:28 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
31.53%
chance
25
1478
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1474
679
Will Venezuela retaliate?
Jan 5, 4:29 PM
Dec 31, 4:29 PM
10.9%
chance
11
836
Option
Votes
YES
NO
286
35
Will Russia retaliate to the US's capture of Maduro
Jan 3, 10:23 AM
Apr 3, 9:20 AM
4.19%
chance
10
624
Option
Votes
YES
NO
231
91
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