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Prediction markets for Cybersecurity

Will CNBC publish a video segment with "quantum" in the title within the next 45 days?

Jan 27, 6:20 AMMar 13, 6:17 AM

74.34%chance

112269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1702

588

Will quantum computing break cybersecurity by 2030?

Dec 30, 10:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.3%chance

332073

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1240

1107

Will Moltbook survive through feb 2026?

Jan 31, 2:10 PMMar 1, 2:06 PM

90.98%chance

281187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

318

31

Will something horrible happen to Kalshi deposits by 2030?

Mar 21, 2:55 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

81068

OptionProbability

Nothing horrible happens

Internal fraud/embezzlement

Bank or financial partner failure

Cybersecurity breach/hack

Regulatory crackdown with asset seizure

Other

84

3

3

3

3

3

Will Q-Day happen in 2025 or 2026? When all of our encryption is broken.

Aug 6, 6:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.66%chance

12957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

35

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

Jan 7, 5:45 AMJan 7, 5:41 AM

9913

OptionProbability

No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032

Finance (portfolio optimization, risk, pricing)

Pharma / chemistry (drug or material discovery)

Logistics / mobility (routing, supply chain, EV fleets)

Cybersecurity / cryptography

Government / defence

56

15

12

6

6

6

Will it become public that Monero has been compromised currently before 2030?

Jun 27, 1:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.08%chance

7265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Will cybersecurity be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?

May 8, 6:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

66%chance

10206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

122

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Jun 1, 4:46 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

80.41%chance

9192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

154

110

Candidate receives 50.00%+ in first round of Maine dem senate primary?

Dec 21, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2152

OptionProbability

Graham Platner receives 50.00%+ in first round

No candidate receives 50.00%+ in first round

Janet Mills receives 50.00%+ in first round

Any other candidate receives 50.00%+ in first round

47

29

22

2

By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?

Jun 29, 5:55 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

35.98%chance

14110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

979

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

Jan 12, 5:45 AMFeb 10, 11:59 PM

768

OptionProbability

Cybersecurity / cryptography

No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032

Pharma / chemistry (drug or material discovery)

Government / defence

Finance (portfolio optimization, risk, pricing)

Logistics / mobility (routing, supply chain, EV fleets)

Other

36

22

12

10

8

6

6

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