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Prediction markets for Cybertruck

When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued?

Jan 17, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

158223

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2031 or later

2028-2030

Before July 2025

July thru Dec 2025

33

28

22

15

1

1

Will cybertrucks rust?

Mar 27, 4:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.47%chance

596349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1476

645

Cybertruck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.09%chance

375095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

919

Will there be an official Lego model of the Cybertruck before 2035?

Aug 25, 2:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

8%chance

383742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2412

507

Will there be a cybertruck or a model descended from the cybertruck on mars before 2100

Mar 24, 1:53 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

13.79%chance

201060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

802

Will Cybertruck 2026 receive a full five star safety rating?

Dec 15, 1:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

46.9%chance

131041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Can the Cybertruck work on Mars?

Dec 30, 8:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.87%chance

7394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

342

29

Will the Cybertruck or an upgraded version still be sold new by Tesla at the end of 2027?

May 11, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.03%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

285

35

Will Tesla sell 25 million cybertrucks before 2040?

May 20, 9:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.61%chance

8193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

100

Cybertruck related social game like "punchbuggy" or "perdiddle" by mid 2026

Jan 22, 6:04 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

14.29%chance

385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

38

Will a cybertruck model still be produced ten years after Elon Musk stops working for Tesla.

Apr 1, 5:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.2%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

158

Video of Cybertruck in a Demolition Derby before mid 2030

Feb 28, 10:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

69.12%chance

465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

98

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