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Prediction markets for Cycles

Will Derek Gee ride another UCI cycling race for Israel - Premier Tech before leaving the team?

Aug 25, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

327513

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will there be a UCI road cycling race in Colorado in 2026?

Mar 18, 6:09 PMNov 2, 5:59 AM

5.2%chance

105141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4272

234

Will FIDE prohibit any freestyle chess participants from participating in the 2026 World Championship cycle?

Jan 25, 3:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.24%chance

134865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4752

210

Tadej Pogačar in Pro Cycling Stats top 5 before retirement?

Mar 30, 9:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.47%chance

113536

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4132

242

Will Global Cycling Network (GCN) attempt the "triplet" hour record before 2027?

Oct 27, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.48%chance

32800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3800

263

Will there be a UCI road cycling race in or near Philadelphia in 2026?

Sep 16, 7:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.58%chance

31655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2655

377

All 85,000 H1-B lottery slots for the next cycle filled despite $100k fee?

Sep 21, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.54%chance

5681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

989

How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?

Mar 3, 11:47 PMMar 4, 7:59 AM

5501

OptionProbability

0 - 19

20 - 39

40 - 59

60 - 79

80 - 99

100 - 149

150 - 199

200 - 299

300 - 400

88

8

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Primoz Roglic start any professional cycling races after Tour de Romandie 2026 and before La Vuelta 2026?

Mar 16, 6:12 AMAug 14, 11:59 PM

56.43%chance

9289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

879

How many people will make it to the AMC Series from USAMTS in the 2025-2026 cycle?

Aug 19, 10:24 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM

3245

OptionProbability

31-45

16-30

46-60

1-15

76+

0

61-75

25

24

19

14

12

3

3

When will an AI system complete 3 autonomous self-improvement cycles with 5%+ capability gains each?

Feb 28, 1:48 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

2189

OptionProbability

Before Dec 2035

Before Dec 2033

Before Dec 2031

Before Dec 2029

Before Dec 2030

Before Oct 2028

Before Apr 2028

Before Oct 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Oct 2026

89

79

61

50

50

44

36

26

19

12

Will Timo Kielich win 3 or more races in the 2026 UCI Professional Cycling Season?

Jan 22, 6:53 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

23.46%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

979

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