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CZ News

Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

Jan 2, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38580242

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Other

Jensen Huang

Larry Page

Sam Altman

Jeff Bezos

Larry Ellison

Mark Zuckerberg

Bernard Arnault

Satoshi Nakamoto

Sergey Brin

Masayoshi Son

Donald Trump

Michael Saylor

Bill Gates

Warren Buffett

me

Steve Ballmer

Gautam Adani

Mukesh Ambani

An AGI

Brian Armstrong

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao

Tim Draper

Jack Dorsey

Winklevoss Tyler/Cameron

@Mira

Vladimir Putin

Michael Dell

Amancio Ortega

Carlos Slim Helu

Vitalik Buterin

Eric Schmidt

Dave Tepper

Ken Griffin

Eduardo Saverin

Morris Chang

46

25

7

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will Trump announce as his new AI Czar?

Sep 19, 11:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13935137

OptionProbability

Scott Bessent

No one by end of 2026

Other

Michael Kratsios

David Sacks

Elon Musk

Sriram Krishnan

Marc Andreessen

Jensen Huang

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

Emil Michael

Sam Altman

Mark Zuckerberg

Donald Trump

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Leopold Aschenbrenner

Rudy Giuliani

Dean Ball

Dario Amodei

Peter Thiel

Tim Cook

Séb Krier

Keith Rabois

Jacob Helberg

Katherine Boyle

32

27

14

11

5

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will RFK be a Czar in the next administration?

Aug 27, 4:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2%chance

234512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2422

12

Will Czechia adopt the euro before 2030?

Jan 2, 8:08 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

16.47%chance

251855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2051

576

Polska: Czy Korwin założy kolejną partię? [Will Korwin-Mikke start another political party?]

Oct 18, 3:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

91.45%chance

8474

OptionVotes

NO

YES

386

68

Will Czechia legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033?

May 24, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.14%chance

11435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

136

Czechia's Economist Democracy Index score

May 16, 9:56 PMJan 1, 10:42 PM

1383

OptionProbability

7.0 - 7.999

6.0 - 6.999

8.0 - 8.999

5.0 - 5.999

9.0 - 10.000

4.0 - 4.999

Below 4

28

26

26

7

7

4

3

Macinka remains a Czech minister in 2026

Jan 27, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.66%chance

3132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Will an Estonian or a Czech win a Nobel prize between 2025 and 2030?

Apr 25, 7:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.9%chance

5130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

Will Czechia adopt a whitelist approach over a blacklist for defining legally purchasable animal species by 2028?

Oct 30, 9:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.67%chance

567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

106

Will Viraj Chhajed (aka Viraj Cz) win emergent ventures (EV) by EOY 2026?

Jan 1, 4:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.98%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65

38

What should happen to the "what will CZ have to pay as part of the plea" question.

Nov 22, 1:01 PM

50

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