DAI News

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Jul 8, 10:15 PMJul 7, 6:59 AM

8811184

OptionProbability

Other

Len Sassaman

Hal Finney

Adam Back

Nick Szabo

An Intelligence Agency

Peter Todd

Satoshi Nakamoto

Dorian Nakamoto

Jack Dorsey

Steve Sokolowski

Curtis Yarvin

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Elon Musk

Vitalik Buterin

Craig Wright

Wei Dai

[INVALID]

Sinclair Chen

@Mira

[Invalid]

@jim

What will be the world's RESERVE CURRENCY by 2035?

Jun 3, 3:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

512893

OptionProbability

US dollar

Bitcoin

GBP - British Pound

CNH - offshore yuan

CNY - Chinese Yuan

EUR - European Union Euro

BTC - Bitcoin

Other

XAU - Gold

JPY - Japanese Yen

USDC

Dai

ETH - Ethereum

USDT (Tether)

a new BRICS currency

Euro

West African CFA franc

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Apr 14, 3:22 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

45.3%chance

622817

OptionVotes

YES

1100

827

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Jan 8, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

55%chance

352427

OptionVotes

YES

1025

966

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Aug 3, 10:51 AMAug 11, 4:59 AM

58.51%chance

231657

OptionVotes

YES

1188

842

Matt Walsh still employed by Daily Wire on June 30, 2026

Nov 3, 2:16 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

68.45%chance

71091

OptionVotes

YES

1474

679

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Apr 3, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14543

OptionProbability

Austro-Tai (language family that includes both Austronesian and Kra-Dai languages)

Dene-Yeniseian (language family that includes both Na-Dene and Yeniseian languages)

Italo-Celtic (an IE subfamily that includes both Latin and a Celtic language, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Je-Tupi-Carib (language family that includes both Je, Tupi and Carib languages)

Pontic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Northwest Caucasian languages)

Paleo-Balkan (an IE subfamily that includes all of: Albanian, Ilyrian, Daco-Thracian, Hellenic, Phrygian. Can also include Armenian, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Uralo-Siberian (language family that includes Uralic, Yukaghir and Eskaleut)

Altaic (or any other language family containing both Turkic, Tungusic and Mongolic languages)

Indo-Uralic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Uralic languages)

Proto-World (all known languages in the world are proven to belong to the same macrofamily)

Will I begin using cryptocurrency transactions in my daily life before 2030?

Dec 11, 2:46 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52%chance

30441

OptionVotes

YES

998

985

If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?

Oct 10, 10:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22378

OptionProbability

Adam Back

Other

Hal Finney

Nick Szabo

Multiple People

Dorian Nakamoto

Len Sassaman

Wei Dai

Paul Le Roux

Craig Wright

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Sep 23, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.09%chance

3152

OptionVotes

YES

1043

959

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.3%chance

2123

OptionVotes

YES

1099

910

Will CO2 pass a daily average of 432.55 ppm at Mauna Loa on any day in 2026?

Mar 31, 4:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.98%chance

1105

OptionVotes

YES

1105

905

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Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

What will be the world's RESERVE CURRENCY by 2035?

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Matt Walsh still employed by Daily Wire on June 30, 2026

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Will I begin using cryptocurrency transactions in my daily life before 2030?

If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Will CO2 pass a daily average of 432.55 ppm at Mauna Loa on any day in 2026?

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