OptionProbability
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
pass 500 or more executive orders
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
Stays alive
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
Revoke ten or more citizenships
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Pardon himself
File lawsuit against a congressperson
have a journalist arrested
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
new blockade of a country
Prosecute someone for flag burning
Pardon a convicted pedophile
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
resume buying oil from Russia
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
call someone retarded through text or speech
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
Dep
Nominate a family member to high office
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
put his name on a ship in the navy
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Announce he’s running for a third term
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
ten or more protestors killed during term
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
Causes Tina Peters' early release
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Pardon p diddy
Add a citizenship question to the census
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
take state ownership in an airline
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
add a new federal holiday in his honor
take control of a part of ukraine
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
Replace his Vice President
stops all sanctions on Russia
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
force a former president to testify before Congress
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
expand the borders of the usa
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
repeal Obamacare
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
actually disinter bodies from another country
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
orders arrests of any Biden family member
repeal an amendment
Enact price controls on groceries
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
host putin at mar a lago
make statements that are negative about labubu
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
take control of a part of greenland
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
declares a white history month
ends black history month
all time high unemployment reached
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Implement a federal age of consent
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
stop California from hosting the Olympics
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
Causes derek chauvin's early release
fully nationalize an airline
Says 6 7 (or variant)
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
pardon derek chauvin
Raise the retirement age for social security
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
Salute Putin
Withdraw from NATO
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Call for the end of child marriage
Call for the end of gay marriage
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
Annex any part of Mexico
change the borders of a state
add a new state
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Call for the end of the Senate
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
fauci in jail at least one week
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
ban trans people from holding federal offices
Implement a federal abortion ban
bans anime
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
Call for the end of interracial marriage
Wearing a white dress after labor day
bans 6 7
pardon george santos
100
99
95
94
88
88
86
85
82
82
81
81
77
77
75
74
74
74
74
73
72
71
71
68
67
67
66
65
65
64
63
63
62
60
60
59
58
55
54
52
51
51
50
50
49
47
47
47
47
46
45
44
43
43
42
42
41
40
40
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37
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26
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25
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25
25
25
25
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21
20
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19
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18
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14
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
Nick Fuentes is a fascist and Holocaust denier
The fascism
Undermining of democracy
LGBTQ+ Policy
Climate Change Policy
Cheap easy populism
Generalized hostility to science
Driving political division by cherry-picking the worst of the left and portraying it as representative of everyone on the left
Opposing embryo selection
Complete disregard for facts or evidence (e.g., conspiracy theories, science denial, believing anything Trump says without question)
Vibe-level insufferability
Matt Walsh / Daily Wire
Denying the achievements of socialism
Demands too much funding for public education
Support for China
Nothing, W Right Wing
99
97
97
96
84
82
78
78
75
75
55
53
12
8
6
1
OptionProbability
Epoch Times
NPR
Wired
Time
TMZ
Los Angeles Times
New York Post
USA Today
The Onion
Times of India
Gateway Pundit
Babylon Bee
Daily Wire
Newsmax
Breitbart
Al Jazeera
Associated Press (AP)
The Information
The Base Rate Times
Fox News
Wall Street Journal
CNN
BBC
NPR
New York Times
92
79
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
41
34
34
34
20
18
9
OptionVotes
YES
NO
431
23
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1133
882
OptionVotes
YES
NO
144
70
OptionVotes
YES
NO
129
77

