OptionProbability
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
pass 500 or more executive orders
A literal red line on the ground/floor
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
have a journalist arrested
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
Stays alive
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
Revoke ten or more citizenships
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
File lawsuit against a congressperson
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Add a citizenship question to the census
add a new federal holiday in his honor
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
resume buying oil from Russia
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Prosecute someone for flag burning
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
Dep
Causes Tina Peters' early release
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
put his name on a ship in the navy
Causes derek chauvin's early release
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
new blockade of a country
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
ten or more protestors killed during term
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
pardon derek chauvin
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
Raise the retirement age for social security
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
Announce he’s running for a third term
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
Pardon a convicted pedophile
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
Withdraw from NATO
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
ban trans people from holding federal offices
stops all sanctions on Russia
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
take state ownership in an airline
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
call someone retarded through text or speech
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
Enact price controls on groceries
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
host putin at mar a lago
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
actually disinter bodies from another country
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
Call for the end of gay marriage
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
repeal an amendment
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
force a former president to testify before Congress
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
repeal Obamacare
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
Pardon p diddy
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
take control of a part of ukraine
expand the borders of the usa
pardon george santos
make statements that are negative about labubu
orders arrests of any Biden family member
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
add a new state
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
ends black history month
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
Replace his Vice President
declares a white history month
Implement a federal age of consent
all time high unemployment reached
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
stop California from hosting the Olympics
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
fully nationalize an airline
Salute Putin
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Implement a federal abortion ban
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
Annex any part of Mexico
change the borders of a state
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Call for the end of the Senate
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
fauci in jail at least one week
take control of a part of greenland
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
Call for the end of interracial marriage
bans anime
Wearing a white dress after labor day
100
97
97
95
93
89
89
87
85
84
83
82
78
77
76
74
74
73
72
70
70
67
67
66
65
64
63
62
62
57
56
56
55
55
55
52
52
52
52
52
51
50
50
50
50
47
47
47
46
43
41
40
40
39
37
36
36
35
35
35
35
34
34
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
31
31
31
30
29
28
28
28
27
25
25
25
25
25
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
23
21
21
21
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
8
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
Nick Fuentes is a fascist and Holocaust denier
Undermining of democracy
The fascism
LGBTQ+ Policy
Climate Change Policy
Cheap easy populism
Generalized hostility to science
Driving political division by cherry-picking the worst of the left and portraying it as representative of everyone on the left
Opposing embryo selection
Complete disregard for facts or evidence (e.g., conspiracy theories, science denial, believing anything Trump says without question)
Vibe-level insufferability
Matt Walsh / Daily Wire
Denying the achievements of socialism
Demands too much funding for public education
Support for China
Nothing, W Right Wing
99
98
97
96
84
82
78
78
75
75
55
53
10
8
6
1
OptionProbability
Epoch Times
NPR
Wired
Time
TMZ
Los Angeles Times
New York Post
USA Today
The Onion
Times of India
Gateway Pundit
Babylon Bee
Daily Wire
Newsmax
Breitbart
Al Jazeera
Associated Press (AP)
The Information
The Base Rate Times
Fox News
Wall Street Journal
CNN
BBC
NPR
New York Times
92
79
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
41
34
34
34
20
18
9
OptionVotes
YES
NO
238
42