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London-Based Abraxas Capital Faces $190 Million Loss on $483M Crypto Shorts; Pantera Capital Invests $300 Million in Digital Asset Treasuries

4 days ago

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?

Jun 11, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.89%chance

286687649

OptionVotes

YES

23597

4701

Was synthetic video data generated and used in training Sora?

Feb 16, 11:40 AMDec 15, 9:59 PM

36.12%chance

15173304

OptionVotes

YES

2118

667

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

4670204

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

Will I (Aella) find someone to seriously date by the end of 2029?

May 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.98%chance

1248822

OptionVotes

YES

1951

1592

If Krantz goes on a proper date with Robin Hanson, they will win a Nobel Prize in Economics.

Mar 15, 12:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.2%chance

86295

OptionVotes

YES

1500

847

Will I think the "AI has a data bottleneck" people are dumb before the end of 2025?

Jan 26, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.62%chance

235281

OptionVotes

YES

12064

8138

What will be the “All Reviews” rating for The Elder Scrolls VI on Steam, 6 months after the release date?

Aug 7, 10:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75280

OptionProbability

Mostly Positive

Very Positive

Mixed

Overwhelmingly Positive

Mostly Negative

Very Negative

Overwhelmingly Negative

Will most people be dating robot cat girls in 15 years?

Apr 7, 7:37 PMApr 7, 11:59 PM

2%chance

324001

OptionVotes

YES

700

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Jun 21, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.37%chance

153230

OptionVotes

YES

1977

506

Will there be an airstrike on a datacenter before 2035?

Mar 30, 3:43 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34.35%chance

583118

OptionVotes

YES

1006

971

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

Feb 14, 1:02 AMFeb 15, 7:59 AM

46.76%chance

202135

OptionVotes

YES

10868

9165

LWCW 2026 start date?

Aug 8, 9:41 PMOct 5, 10:59 PM

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London-Based Abraxas Capital Faces $190 Million Loss on $483M Crypto Shorts; Pantera Capital Invests $300 Million in Digital Asset Treasuries
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Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?

Was synthetic video data generated and used in training Sora?

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Will I (Aella) find someone to seriously date by the end of 2029?

If Krantz goes on a proper date with Robin Hanson, they will win a Nobel Prize in Economics.

Will I think the "AI has a data bottleneck" people are dumb before the end of 2025?

What will be the “All Reviews” rating for The Elder Scrolls VI on Steam, 6 months after the release date?

Will most people be dating robot cat girls in 15 years?

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Will there be an airstrike on a datacenter before 2035?

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

LWCW 2026 start date?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram