Data Cloud News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

20049319

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.28%chance

264385

OptionVotes

YES

3328

300

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.03%chance

302990

OptionVotes

YES

1105

905

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.52%chance

61498

OptionVotes

YES

1440

694

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

Jun 1, 6:47 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.62%chance

6459

OptionVotes

YES

196

Will CoreWeave be bankrupt by EOY 2027?

Oct 27, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.02%chance

13379

OptionVotes

YES

221

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

10156

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

43.99%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?

Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

83.11%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will Russia destroy global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

Sep 27, 6:57 AMDec 31, 7:30 AM

11%chance

OptionVotes

YES

101

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

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Prediction markets for Data Cloud

Prediction markets for Data Cloud

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

Will CoreWeave be bankrupt by EOY 2027?

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?

Will Russia destroy global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

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