Data Cloud News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19947933

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.88%chance

233352

OptionVotes

YES

3420

292

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.08%chance

241733

OptionVotes

YES

1085

921

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.52%chance

61498

OptionVotes

YES

1440

694

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

Jun 1, 6:47 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.62%chance

6459

OptionVotes

YES

196

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

10156

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

43.99%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will the US attack European AI/compute providers before 2035?

Jun 21, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

3112

OptionVotes

YES

183

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?

Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

83.11%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.78%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

Data Cloud News

Prediction markets for Data Cloud

Prediction markets for Data Cloud

Prediction markets for Data Cloud

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Will the US attack European AI/compute providers before 2035?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

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