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Prediction markets for Databricks
OptionProbability
100
90
88
75
40
39
35
35
34
27
24
23
21
20
17
17
15
14
11
10
10
3
The Great AI Correction: Which company will be the largest casualty by 2030? - Add your guess!
Sep 27, 9:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
134309
OptionProbability
23
21
13
8
8
8
7
6
4
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
87
86
83
80
73
61
53
36
22
20
18
Who will publicly release the first language model to be credibly accused of being responsible for 100 deaths?
Oct 5, 2:30 AMDec 13, 7:59 AM
21733
OptionProbability
17
16
15
11
9
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
OptionProbability
83
10
5
2
Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
Jan 12, 12:52 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM
35.46%chance
4188
OptionVotes
312
236