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Prediction markets for Databricks
OptionProbability
100
100
100
88
14
12
7
6
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
100
100
100
87
7
5
3
3
1
1
1
The Great AI Correction: Which company will be the largest casualty by 2030? - Add your guess!
Sep 27, 9:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
195247
OptionProbability
27
18
16
8
7
7
7
7
4
OptionProbability
52
31
12
3
2
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
31
26
14
13
11
5
OptionVotes
1236
809
Who will publicly release the first language model to be credibly accused of being responsible for 100 deaths?
Oct 5, 2:30 AMDec 13, 7:59 AM
21733
OptionProbability
17
16
15
11
9
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
OptionProbability
84
10
4
2
Which company's revenue in 2026 will grow by at least 50% in 2027?
Jul 27, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10225
OptionProbability
87
84
80
28
26