David AI News
Prediction markets for David AI
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10%chance
8141187
OptionVotes
29364
2889
Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?
Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49%chance
19129348
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry
Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM
97.16%chance
2711352
OptionVotes
6226
197
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.64%chance
226982
OptionVotes
3477
288
OptionVotes
3049
331
Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-5 is sentient?
May 15, 7:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
11.19%chance
211719
OptionVotes
1987
795
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
68.62%chance
211582
OptionVotes
1331
784
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.96%chance
8548
OptionVotes
1334
752
OptionVotes
219
46
Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text the CAIS Statement on AI Risk before 2028?
May 16, 7:23 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
12.09%chance
7185
OptionVotes
270
37
When will AI write great tailor-made math textbooks? (see description)
Feb 15, 8:51 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
2166
OptionProbability
23
23
19
17
10
8
OptionProbability
16
12
12
12
12
12
12
11