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Prediction markets for Dawgs

Anthropic deploys ads in Claude web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:09 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

3.32%chance

151990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

540

19

OpenAI deploys ads in ChatGPT web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.78%chance

151401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

664

15

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM

12.62%chance

17645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1394

1018

Nobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?

Jul 17, 12:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.8%chance

8488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

84

Will RISK fail to pay an insurance claim before 2028?

May 11, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

32.09%chance

7446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

25%chance

15402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

The United States gains >10,000 square kilometers of territory before Trump leaves office

Jan 13, 12:14 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

32.82%chance

12376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

147

Will my new Claude account get banned?

Jan 15, 5:49 AMFeb 14, 5:47 AM

15.19%chance

5164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

42

100,000 Indians immigrate to China on K visas before 2030?

Oct 1, 7:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.93%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177

76

Will Kendrick Lamar have a Billboard number 1 single in 2026?

Jan 5, 4:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.1%chance

477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

174

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