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Prediction markets for Daydream

How will my game perform at my next major game jam

Dec 19, 4:03 AMMar 14, 10:59 PM

7462

OptionProbability

Above 50th percentile

Above 75th percentile

Above 85th percentile

Above 90th percentile

Above 95th percentile

Podium

84

72

59

50

41

40

Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?

Jul 14, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.63%chance

11261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

45

Will I own a home/condo/etc before 2035?

Sep 3, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.23%chance

737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

107

Have you been romantically obsessed with someone?/Do you think you are to the left or right of a median Manifold user?

May 17, 12:55 AM

130

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