OptionProbability
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
[UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race
[Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC
[Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)
[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026
[Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France
[UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories
[Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
[Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)
[Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
[Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey
[Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC
[Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
[Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages
[NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race
[Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC
[Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours
[Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia
[Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem
[UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments
[Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race
[Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
[Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo
[NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
90
73
71
66
65
61
60
60
59
55
54
50
41
37
34
34
34
34
31
30
29
29
28
25
25
24
24
24
24
24
20
20
18
15
12
12
10
10
8
8
6
6
5
5
4
4
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