Deci News

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.61%chance

15595688

OptionVotes

YES

5993

3912

Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]

Jan 24, 3:26 PMDec 31, 3:10 PM

16.3%chance

477045

OptionVotes

YES

2606

968

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

69.56%chance

406214

OptionVotes

YES

3162

2308

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155892

OptionProbability

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?

Mar 11, 3:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.6%chance

464186

OptionVotes

YES

3083

1402

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.11%chance

112422

OptionVotes

YES

1824

548

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Nov 23, 1:47 AMJan 2, 1:46 AM

33.02%chance

8850

OptionVotes

YES

2129

1474

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.24%chance

16641

OptionVotes

YES

1089

769

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will it regret its decision?

Jul 23, 10:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.18%chance

14603

OptionVotes

YES

986

972

Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040?

Apr 2, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

15299

OptionVotes

YES

390

222

Will there be a second Jev-style decision output model on OpenRouter by end October?

Sep 18, 8:58 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

34.47%chance

8207

OptionVotes

YES

138

Thomas Tuchel decision market - will England make it to the final of the Euros?

Jul 18, 9:53 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

**Assuming Tuchel sacked** England make it to the final of the Euros

**Assuming Tuchel NOT sacked** England make it to the final of the Euros

Deci News

Prediction markets for Deci

Prediction markets for Deci

Prediction markets for Deci

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will it regret its decision?

Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040?

Will there be a second Jev-style decision output model on OpenRouter by end October?

Thomas Tuchel decision market - will England make it to the final of the Euros?

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