Deci News

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.61%chance

15595688

OptionVotes

YES

5993

3912

Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]

Jan 24, 3:26 PMDec 31, 3:10 PM

15.61%chance

487070

OptionVotes

YES

2696

951

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

156353

OptionProbability

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

69.56%chance

406214

OptionVotes

YES

3162

2308

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?

Mar 11, 3:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.09%chance

464236

OptionVotes

YES

3133

1386

Will neurotechnology enable AI to predict and classify human decisions, along with their influencing factors, by 2030?

May 18, 8:53 PMJan 3, 12:59 PM

59.29%chance

303064

OptionVotes

YES

1075

815

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.06%chance

122452

OptionVotes

YES

1729

578

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Nov 23, 1:47 AMJan 2, 1:46 AM

33.02%chance

8850

OptionVotes

YES

2129

1474

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.24%chance

16641

OptionVotes

YES

1089

769

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will it regret its decision?

Jul 23, 10:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.18%chance

14603

OptionVotes

YES

986

972

Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040?

Apr 2, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

15299

OptionVotes

YES

390

222

Thomas Tuchel decision market - will England make it to the final of the Euros?

Jul 18, 9:53 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

**Assuming Tuchel sacked** England make it to the final of the Euros

**Assuming Tuchel NOT sacked** England make it to the final of the Euros

Deci News

Prediction markets for Deci

Prediction markets for Deci

Prediction markets for Deci

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?

Will neurotechnology enable AI to predict and classify human decisions, along with their influencing factors, by 2030?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will it regret its decision?

Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040?

Thomas Tuchel decision market - will England make it to the final of the Euros?

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