OptionVotes
YES
NO
984
961
1973
507
2166
824
300
33
1128
886
119
38
OptionProbability
Will the next major US or Israeli attack on Iran begin while oil futures are closed?
US or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026
Will US and/or Israeli military strikes hit at least 20 distinct bridges in Iran between Nov 8 and December 31, 2026?
Will Iran hit a hyperscaler data center in the Gulf before 2027?
Will all Iran–Iraq land border crossings close to commercial freight simultaneously for 48+ hours before Dec 31, 2026?
Will US/Israeli strikes cause a nationwide or multi-province power blackout in Iran lasting at least 24 hours before 2027?
54
43
30
20
18
