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Prediction markets for Deep Sky

Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s?

Jan 6, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

383002

OptionProbability

Children of Blood and Bone

Project Hail Mary

Neuromancer

Mistborn

Hyperion

The Way of Kings

Fourth Wing

A Court of Thorns and Roses

Old Man's War

The Amulet of Samarkand

Revelation Space

The Final Empire

The Blade Itself

Assassin's Apprentice

Ancillary Justice

The Lies of Locke Lamora

The Mote in God's Eye

Piranesi

The Wind Singer

A Fire Upon the Deep

A Deepness in the Sky

Permutation City

Consider Phlebas

Shards of Honor

The Left Hand of Darkness

The Forever War

Use of Weapons

Consider Phlebas

The Name of the Wind

The Player of Games

The Shadow of the Torturer

Stranger in a Strange Land

The Diamond Age

Kushiel's Dart

We Are Legion

Blindsight

The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect

Rant: The Oral Biography of Buster Casey

Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality

100

100

99

82

74

61

59

50

49

46

43

41

41

41

40

39

36

36

35

30

30

28

28

28

27

25

25

25

21

19

17

17

16

15

13

12

10

10

4

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.98%chance

9206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

172

119

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.03%chance

9193

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

63

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.76%chance

11140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

98

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will Peru bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

25.68%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

81

Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 10:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

62.63%chance

659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

75

Will Algeria bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.67%chance

327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

97

83

Will Brazil bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

34.74%chance

222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

54

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Indonesia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 5, 7:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.96%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

68

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