Deep Track News

Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Boosts Alphabet Stake by 21%, Adds $1.28 Billion Amazon Position, Exits Cheniere Energy

4 months ago

Will a human player defeat the SSBM AI Phillip in 2025?

Nov 20, 2:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13%chance

62130

OptionVotes

YES

2587

387

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

YES

1141

1067

Colorado cavers confirm reopening "Cyclopean Cave" near Leadville by end-2026?

Nov 28, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.14%chance

3400

OptionVotes

YES

1179

848

Cambridge, MA Zoning reforms 2025 multimarket

Feb 12, 5:25 PMFeb 20, 7:59 AM

7240

OptionProbability

Cambridge population >125k mid 2030 (118k at start)

Cambridge's observed average rent well be lower than $3300, inflation adjusted, at mid 2030

Cambridge's observed average rent well be lower than $3300, inflation adjusted, at mid 2035

Cambridge significantly undoes / reverts the zoning changes

Cambridge average rents rise to >4000,

Burhan Azeem leaves the city council by mid 2030 (actually gone or announced)

Cambridge population >150k mid 2035 (118k at start)

Cambridge population >145k mid 2030 (118k at start)

Cambridge population >190k mid 2035 (118k at start)

Will Chile bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.56%chance

4134

OptionVotes

YES

161

Will Vietnam bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 5, 7:49 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.04%chance

7112

OptionVotes

YES

145

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

YES

204

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

YES

177

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 7, 7:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

56.6%chance

537

OptionVotes

YES

127

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.63%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 10, 12:19 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.76%chance

222

OptionVotes

YES

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Prediction markets for Deep Track

Will a human player defeat the SSBM AI Phillip in 2025?

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Colorado cavers confirm reopening "Cyclopean Cave" near Leadville by end-2026?

Cambridge, MA Zoning reforms 2025 multimarket

Will Chile bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Will Vietnam bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

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