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Top stories

Grayscale Launches DeepBook and Walrus Trusts for Accredited Investors, Expanding Exposure to Sui’s DEEP, WAL Tokens and Ecosystem

Grayscale Launches DeepBook and Walrus Trusts for Accredited Investors, Expanding Exposure to Sui’s DEEP, WAL Tokens and Ecosystem

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for DEEP

DeepSeek IPO Market Cap (MNX)

Sep 11, 11:01 PM

6131160

By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?

Nov 17, 12:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.86%chance

21461877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8541

905

Deep Learning (permanent)

Mar 27, 2:21 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5211376

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1622

664

Will geometric deep learning turn out to be as influential an idea as transformers?

May 7, 6:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.46%chance

624393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

731

Will the first AGI be built mostly within the deep learning paradigm?

May 21, 6:31 PMMay 28, 9:59 PM

77.79%chance

273867

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1871

534

Will Tamay Besiroglu win his Deep Learning vs Program Synthesis bet with Mike Knoop?

Oct 28, 1:24 AMNov 4, 6:59 AM

86.59%chance

142088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2541

393

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.68%chance

4780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4261

3904

Will a research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?

Feb 17, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.79%chance

16767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1199

898

Will a permanent research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?

Feb 17, 11:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.63%chance

14269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

962

Will there be a publicly explicated Scientific Theory of Deep Learning before 2032?

May 2, 9:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.38%chance

7223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

858

Will "A deep critique of AI 2027’s bad timeline models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 19, 9:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.23%chance

245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

763

Will "Deep learning as program synthesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 21, 3:11 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.93%chance

232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

824

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