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Top stories

Meta’s Superintelligence Lab Loses Eight Employees Including Rishabh Agarwal and Chaya Nayak Amid Billion-Dollar Hiring Spree

Meta’s Superintelligence Lab Loses Eight Employees Including Rishabh Agarwal and Chaya Nayak Amid Billion-Dollar Hiring Spree

Authors

17

3 months ago

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Authors

10

3 months ago

Prediction markets for DeepMind

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

4.31%chance

3337754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46223

1947

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2025? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:17 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

9.52%chance

11922038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6570

1069

[Metaculus] Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic announce a pause on large training runs for safety reasons, before 2026?

Mar 5, 3:43 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

2.59%chance

6415836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8083

824

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.71%chance

498516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4065

246

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

52.59%chance

767314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2494

1805

Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026?

Mar 20, 9:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10%chance

342460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2784

176

By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?

Dec 2, 8:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

38.66%chance

251521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1156

871

Will a top brand smartphone feature a DeepMind crystal material before 2028?

Nov 30, 9:00 PMJan 14, 11:59 PM

20.14%chance

161070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

878

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.63%chance

21670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

840

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

15.12%chance

12483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

920

Will "DeepMind's "Frontier Safety Framework" is w..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 18, 4:23 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.65%chance

2310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1307

957

Will "AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind: ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Aug 20, 8:58 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

25.87%chance

4119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

519

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