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Top stories

DeepSeek Launches 685B-Parameter Hybrid V3.1 AI Model With 128K Token Context and Boosts Cambricon Stock

DeepSeek Launches 685B-Parameter Hybrid V3.1 AI Model With 128K Token Context and Boosts Cambricon Stock

Authors

59

7 months ago

Prediction markets for DeepSeek

Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?

Feb 10, 8:33 AMSep 30, 11:59 AM

1.02%chance

3513172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9852

102

DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/26?

Mar 25, 1:21 PMMar 23, 11:59 PM

74.56%chance

369818

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1712

584

Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?

Mar 8, 6:12 AMJun 1, 8:59 AM

94.47%chance

389151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4136

242

Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:42 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

7.49%chance

517972

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5305

495

will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?

Aug 21, 10:15 AMApr 5, 11:13 AM

6.79%chance

535134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3707

270

If DeepSeek releases V4 in 2026, will there be articles about it in NYT, WSJ, and WaPo within two weeks of release?

Feb 18, 5:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.46%chance

142255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1583

632

Will mHC be used in DeepSeek V4?

Jan 1, 1:10 PMMar 31, 12:10 PM

76.03%chance

101332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1781

562

Will the first major multimodal DeepSeek release be video oriented and suited for robot control?

Jan 10, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.27%chance

91151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2146

663

Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?

Aug 22, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.03%chance

5603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1603

624

Will we believe in 2050 that an instance of DeepSeek V3 run by 2025 possessed "consciousness"?

Nov 2, 11:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.54%chance

10274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will there be a Deepseek V4-lite?

Feb 24, 7:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.87%chance

4261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

361

28

Will DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) be used publically by another big lab in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.29%chance

9144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

672

558

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