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Top stories

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Praises DeepSeek, Alibaba AI Models and Open-Source AI at China Supply Chain Expo

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Praises DeepSeek, Alibaba AI Models and Open-Source AI at China Supply Chain Expo

Authors

33

17 days ago

Prediction markets for DeepSeek

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Jan 25, 5:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.58%chance

7132050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25925

4669

Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?

Jan 22, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.83%chance

4824718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25942

6512

When will Deepseek R2 be released?

Mar 25, 12:18 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

3112725

Did DeepSeek receive unannounced assistance from OpenAI in the creation of their v3 model?

Jan 22, 1:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

7.51%chance

268890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3509

285

Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:42 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

7.29%chance

507901

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5386

489

will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?

Jan 27, 3:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

24.89%chance

273318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

576

Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?

Jan 27, 7:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.84%chance

223112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

764

Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?

Mar 8, 6:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.44%chance

272813

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2244

446

DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/26?

Mar 25, 1:21 PMMar 23, 11:59 PM

48.27%chance

192251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

966

When DeepSeek drops r2, will the NASDAQ drop?

Mar 11, 1:06 PMSep 19, 3:59 AM

53.71%chance

381743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

928

Did DeepSeek violate OpenAI's terms of service by using OpenAI model outputs for distillation in 2024 or January 2025?

Jan 30, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.35%chance

81080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1864

536

"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?

Jun 28, 4:09 AMNov 28, 4:08 AM

53.7%chance

17762

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

929

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