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Defense News

Pentagon Prepares Strike Options Against Mexican Cartel Targets

US Foreign Policy

Pentagon Prepares Strike Options Against Mexican Cartel Targets

5

9 months ago

Trump Signals Plan to Rename Pentagon the ‘Department of War’ Within Week

Trump Signals Plan to Rename Pentagon the ‘Department of War’ Within Week

60

8 months ago

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49%chance

19129348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

33.7%chance

6122680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13650

7407

Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?

Jan 25, 1:15 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

20.28%chance

11820804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

505

[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Jul 10, 10:57 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

11.13%chance

105772

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2826

354

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.3%chance

403871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

964

Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy by December 2027?

Aug 12, 4:40 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.99%chance

191753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1815

628

EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029

Mar 10, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.39%chance

6801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1119

893

Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)

Jul 9, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.95%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked?

Jun 19, 4:49 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

77.85%chance

5205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

953

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

981

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.23%chance

4120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

949

Will "In defense of parents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

May 4, 12:20 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.74%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

985

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