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Define Ventures News
Prediction markets for Define Ventures
Prediction markets for Define Ventures
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
Dec 28, 11:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
77.29%
chance
64
20347
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1846
542
Will we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
Jan 28, 8:24 PM
Jan 7, 10:59 PM
56.6%
chance
37
1828
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1240
764
Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 3, 7:29 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
68.25%
chance
24
1825
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1006
924
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Feb 11, 4:29 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
35.9%
chance
26
1671
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1039
864
Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Oct 29, 7:55 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.94%
chance
19
636
Option
Votes
YES
NO
319
31
Peter Thiel on JRE again before 2027
Jun 16, 8:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
16.76%
chance
8
222
Option
Votes
YES
NO
230
46
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