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Define Ventures News
Prediction markets for Define Ventures
Prediction markets for Define Ventures
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
Dec 28, 11:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
29.56%
chance
26
5578
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1545
648
Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 3, 7:29 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
68.25%
chance
24
1825
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1006
924
Will we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
Jan 28, 8:24 PM
Jan 7, 10:59 PM
55.14%
chance
35
1791
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1207
789
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Feb 11, 4:29 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
34%
chance
24
1636
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1012
914
Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Oct 29, 7:55 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.24%
chance
12
490
Option
Votes
YES
NO
313
32
Will Ineos still claim main title sponsorship of current UCI World Tour Team Ineos Grenadiers by end of 2026?
Aug 9, 11:54 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
70.69%
chance
8
204
Option
Votes
NO
YES
201
120
Peter Thiel on JRE again before 2027
Jun 16, 8:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
62.57%
chance
6
70
Option
Votes
NO
YES
133
80
Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:25 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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