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Prediction markets for Definity Financial

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

61.74%chance

18440175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10901

9361

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

8.51%chance

7431502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32786

3050

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.05%chance

416652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

834

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.82%chance

455255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3339

2504

Will QS invoice a customer an amount exceeding $50 million in a single quarter during the Fiscal Year 2026.

Dec 21, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.35%chance

121919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

645

16

Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before July 2026?

Jan 27, 1:27 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

35%chance

20581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?

May 13, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.36%chance

11312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.81%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

905

Will any US state enact a universal healthcare system before 2030?

Feb 10, 6:20 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.26%chance

5145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

58

BANK insolvent before April 2026

Jul 22, 5:19 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

40%chance

6145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)

Jun 24, 5:59 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

83.68%chance

6119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

111

“Will the AI carbon emissions tracking SaaS reach 300 paying business customers by 31 Dec 2027?”

Jan 12, 5:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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