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Prediction markets for Definity Financial

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

57.98%chance

18941852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9995

9955

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

9.29%chance

7639546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31241

3201

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.94%chance

566949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3447

2467

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

24.97%chance

426702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

817

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.52%chance

172051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1909

524

Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before July 2026?

Jan 27, 1:27 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

16.91%chance

291457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

45

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.81%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

905

Which of these rockets will reach orbit first?

Feb 13, 8:11 AMJan 1, 8:11 AM

4245

OptionProbability

Neutron

Nova

Terran R

Rocket 4

None before 2030

67

15

6

6

6

Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)

Jun 24, 5:59 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

83.68%chance

6119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

111

“Will the AI carbon emissions tracking SaaS reach 300 paying business customers by 31 Dec 2027?”

Jan 12, 5:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will a 500k+ Chinese KOL get a publicly disclosed admin fine for posting professional content without credentials?

Dec 17, 7:26 AMDec 31, 7:25 AM

80%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Japan intervene in currency markets before May 2026?

Mar 22, 8:09 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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