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Prediction markets for Definity Financial

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

65.64%chance

18239535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12025

8721

Is Cassava ($SAVA) fraudulent...

Aug 31, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1039528

OptionProbability

Yes, and Simufilam is too

No, and Simufilam doesn't work

Yes, but Simufilam works

No, and Simufilam works

90

29

0

0

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.05%chance

416652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

834

Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?

May 27, 3:37 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.55%chance

172203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

797

13

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

101514

OptionProbability

USA Rare Earth

GlobalFoundries

Boeing

United Health

Tesla

AMD

Ford

Palantir

Moderna

59

37

33

28

20

20

20

17

17

Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?

May 13, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.46%chance

10292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.87%chance

9210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

670

537

will the newly-FDA-approved treatments for Sickle Cell Disease be accessible by EOY 2025?

Dec 8, 9:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.14%chance

8158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

132

Will any US state enact a universal healthcare system before 2030?

Feb 10, 6:20 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.26%chance

5145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

58

BANK insolvent before April 2026

Jul 22, 5:19 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

37.42%chance

6141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)

Jun 24, 5:59 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

83.68%chance

6119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

111

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.32%chance

8104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

294

148

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