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Prediction markets for Definity Financial

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

60.47%chance

19242620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10568

9573

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

8213590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5293

2022

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

23%chance

446890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

786

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.1%chance

182577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1933

517

Will QS invoice a customer an amount exceeding $50 million in a single quarter during the Fiscal Year 2026.

Dec 21, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

132269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

10

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.45%chance

131334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2153

542

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

876

Will the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?

May 8, 3:47 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13%chance

9380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Will any US state enact a universal healthcare system before 2030?

Feb 10, 6:20 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.26%chance

5145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

58

Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)

Jun 24, 5:59 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

84.15%chance

7125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

252

109

Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2030

Aug 5, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.3%chance

365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

75

Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27?

Apr 14, 6:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.7%chance

221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

98

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