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Prediction markets for Definity Financial

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59.9%chance

19242525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10424

9668

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

8.01%chance

7842197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33880

2952

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.12%chance

669683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4164

2260

Will Africa be a global power house in the nest few months

Mar 14, 4:20 PMJun 30, 2:01 PM

14%chance

389541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2478

403

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

24.97%chance

426702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

817

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.1%chance

182577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1933

517

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.81%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

905

Will there be a ceasfire in Ukraine at the end of 2027?

Mar 16, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.6%chance

9151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

71

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.32%chance

8104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

294

148

Will a 500k+ Chinese KOL get a publicly disclosed admin fine for posting professional content without credentials?

Dec 17, 7:26 AMDec 31, 7:25 AM

80%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27?

Apr 14, 6:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.7%chance

221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

98

Will I get a summer job?

Apr 22, 3:49 PMMay 22, 11:59 PM

60%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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