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Prediction markets for Definity Financial

Is Cassava ($SAVA) fraudulent...

Aug 31, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1036973

OptionProbability

Yes, and Simufilam is too

No, and Simufilam doesn't work

Yes, but Simufilam works

No, and Simufilam works

66

31

0

0

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

65%chance

17435675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11829

8825

Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?

Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.05%chance

416652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

834

Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?

May 27, 3:37 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.36%chance

9366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?

May 13, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.46%chance

10292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.83%chance

9210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

671

536

will the newly-FDA-approved treatments for Sickle Cell Disease be accessible by EOY 2025?

Dec 8, 9:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.14%chance

8158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

132

Will any US state enact a universal healthcare system before 2030?

Feb 10, 6:20 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.26%chance

5145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

58

BANK insolvent before April 2026

Jul 22, 5:19 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

38.58%chance

6139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)

Jun 24, 5:59 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

83.68%chance

6119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

111

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.32%chance

8104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

294

148

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