DEM News

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

40%chance

20139770

OptionVotes

YES

1590

412

Will the Dems control all 3 branches? || Will a wealth tax be passed? [BEFORE 2030]

Apr 1, 11:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

337598

OptionProbability

Dems DON'T control all 3 branches + A wealth tax ISN'T passed

Dems control all 3 branches + A wealth tax ISN'T passed

Dems DON'T control all 3 branches + A wealth tax IS passed

Dems control all 3 branches + A wealth tax IS passed

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

4842

207

Who will these anti trump republicans endorse/vote for in 2028? DEM=YES GOP=NO

Dec 21, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6790

OptionProbability

Joe Scarborough

Liz Cheney

John Bolton

James Comey

Mitt Romney

Susan Collins

Chris Christie

Jeb Bush

Lisa Murkowski

Mike Pence

If the Dems win enough seats in the midterms, will Trump be impeached?

Jan 20, 7:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.75%chance

7711

OptionVotes

YES

1634

612

Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI?

Jul 28, 3:27 PMNov 6, 4:25 PM

10482

OptionProbability

Dems flip TX or OH

neither

Reps flip GA or MI

both

Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?

Jan 30, 12:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3282

OptionProbability

R+ >0% to <= 2%

R+ >2% to <= 4%

D+ >=0% to <2%

R+ >4%

D+ >= 4%

D+ >=2% to <4%

Podcaster as GoP or Dem presidential candidate by 2033?

Nov 15, 4:48 PMNov 2, 10:59 PM

30.07%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

152

Who will these left turned rights support in 2028? Dem=yes Gop=No

Dec 21, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2142

OptionProbability

Matt Taibbi

Tulsi Gabbard

Batya Ungar-Sargon

Jimmy Dore

Lindy Li

Jillian Michaels

Dave Rubin

Rfk Jr

How democratic will Syria be in 2029, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

252

OptionProbability

Closed Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

How democratic will Syria be in 2027, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

213

OptionProbability

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

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If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Will the Dems control all 3 branches? || Will a wealth tax be passed? [BEFORE 2030]

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Who will these anti trump republicans endorse/vote for in 2028? DEM=YES GOP=NO

If the Dems win enough seats in the midterms, will Trump be impeached?

Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI?

Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?

Podcaster as GoP or Dem presidential candidate by 2033?

Who will these left turned rights support in 2028? Dem=yes Gop=No

How democratic will Syria be in 2029, according to V-DEM?

How democratic will Syria be in 2027, according to V-DEM?

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

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