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DEM News

Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM

15861461507

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Andy Beshear

J.B. Pritzker

Cory Booker

Tim Walz

Wes Moore

Mark Cuban

Raphael Warnock

Jon Ossoff

Ro Khanna

Ruben Gallego

None

John Fetterman

Hillary Clinton

Joe Biden

Jeff Jackson

Jared Polis

Michelle Obama

Amy Klobuchar

Mitch Landrieu

Roy Cooper

Dianne Feinstein

Jimmy Carter

Chuck Schumer

Tim Kaine

Bernie Sanders

Tammy Duckworth

Mark Kelly

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Elizabeth Warren

Michael Bloomberg

Dwayne Johnson

[Duplicate - Invalid]

Hakeem Jeffries

Andrew Yang

Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

Dean Phillips

Bob Ferguson

Jay Inslee

Kathy Hochul

Anthony Blinken

Susan Rice

Scott Wiener

Donald Trump

Sam Altman

Jeff Merkley

Merrick Garland

Taylor Swift

Tammy Baldwin

Katie Porter

Phil Murphy

Cenk Uygur

Jamie Raskin

Joe Manchin

Sherrod Brown

Chris Murphy

Brian Schatz

John Bel Edwards

Clark Duke

Stacey Abrams

Nina Turner

john smith

Jon Stewart

Duplicate ignore

Gina Raimondo

Ron Desantis

Beto O'Rourke

Vermin Supreme

Hunter Biden

Invalid answer

John Jacob

Alex Jones

Bob Roberston the IV

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Stephen A Smith

16

16

12

11

10

6

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will there exist a compelling demonstration of deceptive alignment by 2026?

Oct 26, 6:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70.33%chance

19776614

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4812

2062

The Political Fate of Elon

Sep 15, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4633030

OptionProbability

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Dems win

Convicted of felony if Dems win

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Reps win

X shut down/sold if Dems win

Convicted of felony if Reps win

X shut down/sold if Reps win

30

23

18

18

4

4

Will the Dems control all 3 branches? || Will a wealth tax be passed? [BEFORE 2030]

Apr 1, 11:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

337598

OptionProbability

Dems DON'T control all 3 branches + A wealth tax ISN'T passed

Dems control all 3 branches + A wealth tax ISN'T passed

Dems DON'T control all 3 branches + A wealth tax IS passed

Dems control all 3 branches + A wealth tax IS passed

81

9

9

1

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4842

207

Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?

Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.55%chance

223853

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12830

7603

2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?

Nov 9, 2:43 PMDec 1, 10:59 PM

13.89%chance

533203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

893

78

Trump receives presidential pardon from Kamala or other Dem by mid 2029

Oct 31, 9:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8.43%chance

13876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

330

30

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93%chance

5801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

101

Will Spanberger (or whoever ends up being the Dem nominee) win Virginia's gubernatorial race by double digits?

Apr 3, 7:41 AMNov 5, 11:59 PM

58.4%chance

5195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1185

844

Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI?

Jul 28, 3:27 PMNov 6, 4:25 PM

793

OptionProbability

Reps flip GA or MI

neither

Dems flip TX or OH

both

45

33

17

5

DEM or GOP?

Sep 20, 7:28 PM

250

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