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Prediction markets for Demand

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

15.29%chance

9117542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2670

2113

Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?

Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.68%chance

505971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

768

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will peak oil demand happens before 2028?

Jan 20, 2:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

34.6%chance

271358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

111

Will most miles in the US be driven by hail-on-demand robotaxis in 2030?

Jan 4, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.01%chance

211307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

867

Will a current Congressman/Presidential candidate demand a recount after the 2024 presidential election?

Apr 19, 4:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.81%chance

111257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

177

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.51%chance

241180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1429

790

Court order demanding OpenAI log deleted chats reversed by EOY2025?

Jun 5, 6:08 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

50.22%chance

9869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

996

By 2030, will demand for cow products have fallen by 70%?

Feb 23, 12:12 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

10.08%chance

14763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

955

Will oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?

Jan 21, 11:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.33%chance

19470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

967

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Dec 22, 9:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.79%chance

12392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

737

Will the new Syrian government demand withdrawal from Golan by Israel as an official position before EOY26?

Jun 3, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.25%chance

8113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

103

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