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Prediction markets for Demand

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will peak oil demand happens before 2028?

Jan 20, 2:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

39.8%chance

281368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

180

94

Will most miles in the US be driven by hail-on-demand robotaxis in 2030?

Jan 4, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.01%chance

211307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

867

Will a current Congressman/Presidential candidate demand a recount after the 2024 presidential election?

Apr 19, 4:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.81%chance

111257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

177

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

By 2030, will demand for cow products have fallen by 70%?

Feb 23, 12:12 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

8.21%chance

151013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1381

930

Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?

Feb 12, 3:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

10876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

905

Will oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?

Jan 21, 11:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.17%chance

21790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1390

894

Will demand for Rhodium from the Electrical & Electronics industry be ≥ ~2500 ozt in 2025?

Sep 18, 12:04 PMDec 25, 1:04 PM

88.03%chance

7783

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

37

H1B demand persists despite $100k fee?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMSep 20, 11:48 PM

50.22%chance

13756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Dec 22, 9:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48%chance

13407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

723

Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 17, 8:16 AMSep 10, 12:25 PM

59.64%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

97

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