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Prediction markets for Demand

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

5%chance

12828388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7285

1681

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will most miles in the US be driven by hail-on-demand robotaxis in 2030?

Jan 4, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.01%chance

211307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

867

Will a current Congressman/Presidential candidate demand a recount after the 2024 presidential election?

Apr 19, 4:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.81%chance

111257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

177

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

By 2030, will demand for cow products have fallen by 70%?

Feb 23, 12:12 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

8.21%chance

151013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1381

930

Will oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?

Jan 21, 11:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.43%chance

20770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1370

898

H1B demand persists despite $100k fee?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMSep 20, 11:48 PM

50.22%chance

13756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?

Feb 12, 3:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.74%chance

7714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

846

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Dec 22, 9:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.79%chance

12392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

737

Will demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8250 ozt in 2026?

Sep 18, 12:04 PMDec 31, 1:04 PM

73.49%chance

4269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

60

Will the new Syrian government demand withdrawal from Golan by Israel as an official position before EOY26?

Jun 3, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.72%chance

9238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

95

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