Democratic Movement News

Bayrou Urges Talks, Says France Should Avoid Snap Elections

5 months ago

Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?

Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

20%chance

313855

OptionVotes

YES

2000

500

Will Elon flip parties again before 2033?

Apr 18, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.82%chance

273669

OptionVotes

YES

2011

497

Will a self-described 'democratic socialist' win the US presidential election in 2028?

Jul 6, 7:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.33%chance

263140

OptionVotes

YES

2445

409

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.13%chance

181543

OptionVotes

YES

1341

866

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

Jan 24, 8:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.42%chance

371200

OptionVotes

YES

1101

765

How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?

Dec 13, 6:21 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

6609

OptionProbability

He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.

He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.

He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.

He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.

Other

He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.

He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027

Jan 14, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.16%chance

6270

OptionVotes

YES

315

If Democrats win the 2026 Midterms will Republicans contest or deny the results?

Jan 12, 2:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.89%chance

7270

OptionVotes

YES

213

What would be Burkina Faso classified as in The Economist Democracy Index for 2026?

Jan 25, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1229

OptionProbability

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

4007

3989

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

102

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Prediction markets for Democratic Movement

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Prediction markets for Democratic Movement

Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?

Will Elon flip parties again before 2033?

Will a self-described 'democratic socialist' win the US presidential election in 2028?

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027

If Democrats win the 2026 Midterms will Republicans contest or deny the results?

What would be Burkina Faso classified as in The Economist Democracy Index for 2026?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

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