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Prediction markets for Democratically controlled Senate

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

22.88%chance

5611953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

Apr 8, 12:37 PMJan 10, 5:59 AM

12.3%chance

214916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5015

4904

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

333999

OptionProbability

R Senate, D House

Democrats Sweep

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

55

28

11

3

2

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.64%chance

482387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5267

1567

Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?

Jan 4, 6:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.34%chance

412194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

665

Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election

Jul 4, 2:47 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

211895

OptionProbability

Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate

Republicans control Congress

Democrats control Congress

Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate

69

21

8

1

In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate?

Sep 9, 2:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

131243

OptionProbability

2028

2026

Other

2024

43

28

28

1

Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?

Nov 16, 9:04 PMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

53.79%chance

201243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

927

Is 2022-2024 The Last Time This Decade Democrats Will Control The Senate?

Jan 3, 10:40 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

33%chance

19957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

969

Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?

May 3, 10:46 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

25%chance

16502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

71

Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?

May 3, 10:47 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

16.25%chance

5188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

60

Democrats control Senate in 2030?

Jun 8, 6:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.94%chance

8147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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