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Prediction markets for Department

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

Jan 23, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6%chance

5285194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

37235

5859

Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM

19.09%chance

7621508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1566

92

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.74%chance

258597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10639

9487

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

71.3%chance

487487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1576

634

Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department

Nov 8, 12:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

33.46%chance

133602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1410

709

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

54

25

9

7

5

Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?

Jan 24, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.92%chance

221358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

916

Zuck departs Meta before Elon departs SpaceX

Aug 23, 8:28 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

25.75%chance

141070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1698

589

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57.38%chance

11511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

862

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

50%chance

8459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will I get a job in the state department before October?

Jul 18, 8:41 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

46.94%chance

8378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

941

Elon's Department of Government Efficiency creates a leaderboard for the "most insanely dumb spending of tax dollars"

Nov 14, 12:15 PMApr 21, 4:59 AM

56.94%chance

3270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

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