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Prediction markets for Department

Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM

7%chance

7821906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1964

37

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

66.55%chance

497562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1436

722

Department of Education abolished by July 4, 2026

Nov 21, 7:57 AMJul 4, 12:00 AM

6.17%chance

327216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3899

256

Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department

Nov 8, 12:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

31.69%chance

153908

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1468

681

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Jul 20, 5:16 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

5.58%chance

213766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4212

249

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

153650

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

53

28

8

7

4

Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?

Jan 24, 6:00 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

15.67%chance

262458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1818

739

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling SLS before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

75.91%chance

152154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1775

563

Zuck departs Meta before Elon departs SpaceX

Aug 23, 8:28 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

31.12%chance

151220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

672

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

47.56%chance

8509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will Congress fund the Department of Homeland Security by February 13?

Feb 4, 2:30 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM

41.7%chance

5385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

846

Elon's Department of Government Efficiency creates a leaderboard for the "most insanely dumb spending of tax dollars"

Nov 14, 12:15 PMApr 21, 4:59 AM

56.94%chance

3270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

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