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Top stories

UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October

UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October

Authors

10

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Department for Housing

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

8334605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2359

424

Will the United States officially withdraw from NATO by March 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 12:50 PMMar 31, 8:59 PM

1.61%chance

3919397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7810

128

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

57.01%chance

9113224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

868

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

3.19%chance

3710890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5508

182

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

90.45%chance

4510331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3077

325

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.86%chance

113953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

434

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1378

717

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.01%chance

91127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

571

Will the US recognize another genocide before 2029?

Jul 2, 3:07 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

67.45%chance

16894

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

950

Will Idaho House Bill 752 (A trans bathroom bill) be enacted into law?

Mar 22, 7:59 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

76.01%chance

3780

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1780

562

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.72%chance

11469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

812

Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.9%chance

8223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

58

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