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Top stories

UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October

UK Delays Decision on Chinese ‘Super-Embassy’ in London to October

Authors

10

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Department for Housing

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

34.25%chance

15066422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

722

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

96.31%chance

4613282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5109

196

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1201

833

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

3.19%chance

3710890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5508

182

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.86%chance

113953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

434

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1378

717

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.24%chance

101682

OptionVotes

NO

YES

922

694

Will Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?

Apr 24, 1:26 AMJan 1, 2:24 AM

18.19%chance

101340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2121

472

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?

Nov 3, 11:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

11.12%chance

241074

OptionVotes

YES

NO

283

35

Will the US recognize another genocide before 2029?

Jul 2, 3:07 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

67.45%chance

16894

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

950

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

12669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.9%chance

8223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

58

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