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Department of Commerce News
Prediction markets for Department of Commerce
Prediction markets for Department of Commerce
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.3%
chance
19
6946
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13549
7392
Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Jan 17, 5:34 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.79%
chance
28
1832
Option
Votes
YES
NO
322
31
Will there be a new census before 2030?
Aug 7, 4:47 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
39.11%
chance
11
402
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1248
802
US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?
Aug 7, 9:01 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
42.31%
chance
6
268
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1168
856
Will the Defense Production Act be invoked in 2026?
Feb 25, 11:07 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
23.35%
chance
6
155
Option
Votes
YES
NO
160
73
Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Feb 16, 6:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
74.12%
chance
2
80
Option
Votes
NO
YES
133
86
Will Commerce issue a final affirmative AD determination (A-821-840) by Jun 30, 2026?
Feb 16, 5:48 PM
Jul 1, 5:48 PM
76.72%
chance
2
73
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1073
977
Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?
Mar 13, 1:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.28%
chance
5
65
Option
Votes
NO
YES
102
96
Will UCAR/NCAR win its lawsuit against the Trump administration/US government?
Mar 17, 5:05 AM
Dec 31, 6:04 AM
69.23%
chance
1
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
67
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