Department of Energy News
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Prediction markets for Department of Energy
OptionVotes
166695
59990
OptionVotes
3278
1010
OptionVotes
4214
237
Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.7%chance
262978
OptionVotes
1666
746
U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?
Nov 3, 11:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
11.12%chance
241074
OptionVotes
283
35
Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
Mar 28, 8:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56%chance
8833
OptionVotes
375
206
Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?
May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.58%chance
13469
OptionVotes
1225
879
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?
Dec 7, 3:52 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
10221
OptionProbability
38
26
21
15
Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?
Mar 13, 1:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
26%chance
7182
OptionVotes
132
86
OptionVotes
132
83
☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?
Dec 7, 4:21 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM
5104
OptionProbability
42
30
22
6