Department of Health News

What will happen during Trump's second term?

Nov 8, 3:31 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

8810968

OptionProbability

RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department

Flag desecration prohibition passed

Any vaccines banned for any group of people

J6er pardoned

Sports team invited to the white house

A member of Congress is censured or expelled

The democrats take control of the house of representatives

Mass Deportations

A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch

Trump is impeached

Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults

Coup attempt in the United States

Joe Exotic is released from prison

Drone strike in Mexico by US

350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates

It ends with JD Vance becoming president

US punitive expedition in Mexico

Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary

Significant Rogue AI Incident

AGI achieved

100k humanoid robots manufactured

A human walks on the Moon

China invades Taiwan

Largest solar flare since Carrington Event

The Senate eliminates the filibuster

Nuclear weapon detonation

Room temperature superconductor discovered

Elon Musk is arrested for treason

Supreme Court packing

Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)

US military intervention on Canadian territory

22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms

Eagles three-peat

Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason

Donald Trump reelected President

End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days

100

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.76%chance

273028

OptionVotes

YES

1716

730

will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?

Feb 11, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.5%chance

132453

OptionVotes

YES

351

Trump leaves office over Epstein files?

Nov 13, 11:48 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

6.34%chance

291832

OptionVotes

YES

384

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

11.02%chance

111566

OptionVotes

YES

1753

147

Will any SSRIs be DEA-scheduled before Trump leaves office?

Feb 16, 8:47 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

5.39%chance

14680

OptionVotes

YES

419

Miami-Dade WASD ceases adding fluoride to its drinking water by 2027

Mar 11, 9:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.91%chance

3500

OptionVotes

YES

1302

768

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will the County of Los Angeles Department of Public Health's website support HTTPS before the end of 2028?

Jun 13, 11:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

57.23%chance

5143

OptionVotes

YES

116

Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030?

Apr 5, 1:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.81%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will the state of New Mexico launch its medical psilocybin program before April 20, 2027?

Jan 1, 4:53 PMApr 21, 11:59 PM

45.59%chance

353

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will Stanford have free sunscreen stations by 2031

May 8, 6:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Department of Health News

Prediction markets for Department of Health

Prediction markets for Department of Health

Prediction markets for Department of Health

What will happen during Trump's second term?

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?

Trump leaves office over Epstein files?

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

Will any SSRIs be DEA-scheduled before Trump leaves office?

Miami-Dade WASD ceases adding fluoride to its drinking water by 2027

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will the County of Los Angeles Department of Public Health's website support HTTPS before the end of 2028?

Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030?

Will the state of New Mexico launch its medical psilocybin program before April 20, 2027?

Will Stanford have free sunscreen stations by 2031

Latest stories