Department of Justice News

YES

A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026

Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting

At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026

Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket

Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026

A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents

A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc)

A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)

Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)

Cook is charged with any crime by the Justice Department before 2026

Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)

Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal

A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing

Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026

Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026

Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed

Trump threatens to fire Powell "for cause" since he didn't remove Cook

Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete

Supreme Court hears arguments or makes ruling on the incident before 2026

Cook resigns

NO

NO

Election Denying

Puts himself before the country

Wants to fill all government positions with loyalists who will do whatever he says, including illegal and unconstitutional actions

Corruption

Attacks on Free Press

Politicization of Justice Department

Threat to Voting Rights

Cultishness

Repeated threats to kill or imprison those who disagree with him politically

Clear ambitions to purge the government of most civil servants

American democracy is fragile

He wants Trumpocracy

He isn't

Immigration Policy

YES

YES

Gutting the Environmental Protection Agency

Gutting the US Department of Justice (DOJ)

Reducing by more than half the US Department of Justice (DOJ) funding

Allow criminal prosecutions for the senders and receivers of abortion pills

abolishing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Eliminating the Department of Commerce

Eliminating the Department of Education

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services will require that "every state report how many abortions take place, at what gestational age of the child, for what reason, the mother's state of residence, and by what method".

Removing all climate change regulations from 2000 onwards

Implement a Scripture-based system of government whereby "Christ-ordained civil magistrates" exercise authority over the American public

Dismantling the FBI

Apple gets subjected to financial penalties

Opening Up of NFC and Other Hardware Features - Apple is required to provide third-party developers access to hardware features currently restricted, such as the NFC chip used for tap-to-pay transactions.

IApple gets mandated to implement interoperability measures for messaging and smartwatch functionalities

The ruling forces Apple to allow developers to use their payment systems within their apps, bypassing Apple's in-app purchase system and the associated fees.

The court sets clear deadlines for when Apple must implement these changes, such as within 90 days of the ruling, providing a clear timeline for verification.

The court orders Apple to revise Apple's App Store guidelines to allow for more competition.

Establishment of a mechanism for ongoing oversight of Apple's compliance with the lawsuit's rulings.

Apple is compelled to allow developers more freedom in presentation and monetization of apps, including enabling different app discovery methods (ex : use of icons or tiles for mini programs, categorizing them, or using virtual currencies).

Mandatory Allowance of Third-Party App Stores and Sideloading

The court finds Apple guilty of monopolizing or attempting to monopolize the performance smartphone market and/or the broader smartphone market in the United States in violation of Section 2 of the Sherman Act.

The court defines specific permissible actions for super apps and cloud gaming services on iOS, like not requiring each game or service within a super app to be submitted to the App Store individually.

If state antitrust laws are violated, Apple could be fined a specific dollar amount per incident of anticompetitive conduct, as defined by state statutes. (Conditional market)

The court requires Apple to permit cloud gaming services on its devices

The lawsuit leads to a decision that deems Apple's 30% commission rate as excessive.

The court may issue injunctions to prohibit Apple from continuing the specific practices that are identified as anticompetitive, such as using control over app distribution and private APIs to undermine competition.

The court mandates a specific maximum percentage for App Store commissions, such as reducing the current 30% fee to a lower figure, like 15% or 10%.

The court orders Apple to apply its rules and guidelines fairly across all apps and not enforce them selectively to benefit its services or harm competitors.

Apple gets ordered to give restitution to developers or consumers who have been adversely affected by its policies.

The court could require a measurable increase in the number of apps or services in previously restricted categories, such as digital wallets or cloud gaming, available on iOS within a certain period post-ruling.

NO

Settlement

Judgement in favor of the Justice Department

Judgement in favor of TicketMaster/Live Nation

Dismissal / dropped

YES