Department of Licensing News

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.76%chance

2426325

OptionVotes

YES

32266

3099

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

YES

1201

833

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.28%chance

247049

OptionVotes

YES

13556

7388

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

163

Will the state of New Mexico launch its medical psilocybin program before April 20, 2027?

Jan 1, 4:53 PMApr 21, 11:59 PM

45.59%chance

353

OptionVotes

YES

109

Department of Licensing News

Prediction markets for Department of Licensing

Prediction markets for Department of Licensing

Prediction markets for Department of Licensing

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Will the state of New Mexico launch its medical psilocybin program before April 20, 2027?

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