OptionProbability
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department
Flag desecration prohibition passed
Any vaccines banned for any group of people
J6er pardoned
Sports team invited to the white house
A member of Congress is censured or expelled
Significant Rogue AI Incident
The democrats take control of the house of representatives
Mass Deportations
A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch
Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults
Coup attempt in the United States
Trump is impeached
AGI achieved
US punitive expedition in Mexico
350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates
Drone strike in Mexico by US
Joe Exotic is released from prison
It ends with JD Vance becoming president
Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary
100k humanoid robots manufactured
A human walks on the Moon
China invades Taiwan
Largest solar flare since Carrington Event
The Senate eliminates the filibuster
Nuclear weapon detonation
Room temperature superconductor discovered
Elon Musk is arrested for treason
Supreme Court packing
Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)
US military intervention on Canadian territory
22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms
Eagles three-peat
Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason
Donald Trump reelected President
End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days
100
96
80
66
65
64
40
37
35
30
28
26
25
21
16
15
13
12
11
10
9
5
2
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1630
758
351
116
86
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