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Top stories

Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle

Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle

Authors

20

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Department of Public Safety

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.7%chance

262978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1666

746

Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?

Mar 1, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.2%chance

231283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

32

Waymo generally available in London when?

Oct 18, 2:11 PMJul 1, 2:07 PM

14749

OptionProbability

Before July 2027

Before Jan 2027

Not before July 2027

Before July 2026

91

73

20

9

Is Anthropic woke?

Feb 26, 1:34 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

83.78%chance

8402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

44

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

72

59

45

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