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Top stories

Nigeria Police Seize N26 Million, Arrest Vote-Buying Suspect Before By-Elections

Nigeria Police Seize N26 Million, Arrest Vote-Buying Suspect Before By-Elections

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Department of State Services

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1201

833

Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?

Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.66%chance

249456

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026

Jan 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.02%chance

131010

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

904

Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?

Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

80.91%chance

6936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1433

869

Will Matt The Welder (Matt Taylor) win the Republican primary for Florida Commissioner of Agriculture?

Apr 27, 2:05 PMAug 19, 11:59 PM

23.03%chance

6474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1465

814

When will freedom.gov go live?

Mar 4, 5:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2369

OptionProbability

September 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Jan 1, 2027 +

May 1, 2026 – August 31, 2026

On or Before April 30, 2026

44

36

17

2

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

62

Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?

May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM

41.68%chance

2212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

845

will the trump class battleship ever be built

Dec 23, 1:50 PMDec 31, 1:49 PM

39%chance

9142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will the Panormitis dock and unload its grain cargo at an Israeli port?

Apr 28, 12:11 AMAug 31, 12:10 AM

63.95%chance

575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Federal workforce exceeds 2.35 million (excluding USPS) by March 31, 2030?

Sep 25, 12:35 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

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