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Prediction markets for Department of Trade

USITC makes positive preliminary injury determination in Russian unwrought palladium antidumping case?

Aug 13, 10:46 AMDec 31, 11:42 AM

80.35%chance

710835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

20219

4946

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

25.35%chance

10862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1716

583

Which countries will be designated state sponsors of terrorism by the United States at the end of 2026?

Jul 11, 8:31 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

6527

OptionProbability

Iran

Cuba

North Korea

Syria

Venezuela

Afghanistan

Russia

Ukraine

92

83

70

24

21

20

8

6

Will I use "just walk out" style grocery stores more often than not in 2030?

Mar 24, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.77%chance

16500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1252

898

Will there be 1000+ rowi (rarest type of kiwi bird) by end of 2035?

Apr 5, 11:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

71.66%chance

6153

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

132

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