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Prediction markets for Department of Transportation
OptionVotes
3981
251
Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?
Oct 21, 2:40 AMJan 1, 2:27 AM
2.55%chance
115324
OptionVotes
6186
162
OptionProbability
84
22
16
1
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?
Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23%chance
12724
OptionVotes
1265
896
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?
Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.21%chance
13500
OptionVotes
1063
955
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?
Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.01%chance
12475
OptionVotes
1094
871
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?
Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.6%chance
15411
OptionVotes
1021
948
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2026?
Mar 4, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.62%chance
9324
OptionVotes
306
132
Will the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?
Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
64.81%chance
5216
OptionVotes
432
192
OptionVotes
224
45
OptionVotes
121
93
OptionVotes
111
97