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Prediction markets for Departments of Treasury

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.9%chance

3240401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30605

2259

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

4.23%chance

3710140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4758

210

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.24%chance

166052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2358

424

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

28.08%chance

214751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1601

625

$250 bill with Trump's face before 2028?

Oct 9, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.82%chance

303711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2607

384

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9.06%chance

132818

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3169

316

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

101524

OptionProbability

USA Rare Earth

GlobalFoundries

Boeing

United Health

Tesla

AMD

Ford

Palantir

Moderna

55

37

33

28

20

20

20

17

17

US Treasury announces new capital controls before May 22, 2026

Apr 22, 11:17 PMMay 22, 11:59 PM

24.4%chance

91398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

568

As of January 1, 2026, will the following assets be held in a US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

221388

OptionProbability

Bitcoin (BTC)

Tether (USDT)

XRP

Ethereum (ETH)

Solana (SOL)

Cardano (ADA)

Dogecoin (DOGE)

91

65

47

40

34

30

28

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 8:50 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

10997

OptionProbability

40 - 49.9

50 - 59.9

30 - 39.9

Below 20

20 - 29.9

Above 60

56

32

7

2

2

2

Trump gives people cash from tariffs in 2026?

Nov 20, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.97%chance

8224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

55

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