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Prediction markets for Designer Brands

Will the US move forward with constructing the "Golden Dome" in 2025?

Jun 22, 1:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99.59%chance

4825402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15502

65

When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued?

Jan 17, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

128048

OptionProbability

2031 or later

2026

2027

2028-2030

Before July 2025

July thru Dec 2025

30

24

24

20

1

1

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.05%chance

145589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7177

3289

Will there be an AI smartphone brought to market by 2027?

Mar 24, 8:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

78.93%chance

23426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

907

Will Iittala return to their previous red "i" logo before 2026?

Feb 10, 2:29 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

3.23%chance

6325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

386

13

Will the next original Paper Mario game use the “classic” RPG formula of Paper Mario 64 / The Thousand-Year Door?

Jul 7, 9:35 AMJul 7, 9:29 AM

45.68%chance

427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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