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Prediction markets for Designer Brands

When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued?

Jan 17, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

168360

OptionProbability

2026

2031 or later

2027

2028-2030

Before July 2025

July thru Dec 2025

31

26

24

18

1

1

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

157840

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9428

2859

Kimi K4 released in 2026?

Jul 25, 12:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.6%chance

134235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1905

525

Will there be an AI smartphone brought to market by 2027?

Mar 24, 8:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.95%chance

25490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1289

892

Will ManifestxDC inspire additional Manifestx events ?

Nov 9, 7:29 AMDec 31, 3:57 PM

69.23%chance

250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Will the next original Paper Mario game use the “classic” RPG formula of Paper Mario 64 / The Thousand-Year Door?

Jul 7, 9:35 AMJul 7, 9:29 AM

40.57%chance

639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

Will a new Toyota Celica or MR2 be announced first or at the same time?

Sep 1, 7:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

233

OptionProbability

New Celica announced first

New MR2 announced first

Both announced at the same time

Neither will be announced by 2030

36

25

19

19

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

After the acquisition of Teka group by chinese Midea, will they close the production site of Teka sinks in spain?

Oct 22, 8:33 PMDec 31, 9:26 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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