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Prediction markets for DH

When will DHS be funded again?

Feb 28, 5:03 AMJun 2, 3:59 AM

116472

OptionProbability

Before April 13

Before March 30

Before March 9

Before March 16

Before March 23

69

31

0

0

0

Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election?

Jan 14, 11:11 AMAug 14, 11:59 PM

203635

OptionProbability

Suella Braverman

Robert Jenrick

At least five MPs elected as Conservatives in 2024

At least one MP elected as Labour in 2024

Katie Lam

Jacob Rees-Mogg

Liz Truss

Priti Patel

Dan Carden

100

100

89

58

46

39

36

20

13

Will The Pokémon Company pursue legal action against DHS/the US govt for the DHS Pokemon video before Dec 2027?

Sep 26, 3:50 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

13.06%chance

42094

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2563

125

Will more people die in (major) plane crashes than (major) train crashes in 2026?

Feb 17, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.84%chance

121515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

764

Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary?

Mar 15, 3:12 AMDec 31, 2:12 AM

3%chance

41209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

19

Widespread reports of ICE or DHS agents guarding polling stations during Trump II

Aug 15, 4:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

65.86%chance

5613

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1389

720

If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029?

Mar 20, 5:04 AMJan 19, 12:00 AM

46.75%chance

10386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

834

Will MS Dhoni remain actively associated with CSK even after retiring?

Apr 28, 7:45 PMMar 31, 6:29 PM

73.91%chance

9309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

276

127

Will labour top a national/GB poll for the next UK election by the end of 2026?

Feb 1, 6:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34%chance

7156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will Joe Biden visit the White House ever again?

Jan 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.75%chance

681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

74

Will a commercial non-stop flight between New York and Dhaka exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 4:09 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33.78%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

36

Is Dhalgren, by Samuel R. Delany, the greatest American science fiction novel of all time?

Nov 26, 1:06 PM

00

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