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What significant changes in modern life will occur by the year 2030? [add answers]

Jan 26, 7:19 AMDec 31, 5:00 PM

386900

OptionProbability

People spending large amounts of time in VR hardware (100+ million hours per week in the US)

Fully driverless cars are >=1% of miles driven in the US

Major armed conflict between world powers breaks out (World War 3)

Encountering a humanoid robot in public and not being surprised

Any government in the world (local, regional, national) is run by an AI system

Revolutionary breakthrough in fusion energy

Global digital currency replaces traditional banking systems

Space tourism/travel becomes commercially viable for middle class

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.93%chance

102438

OptionVotes

YES

1944

515

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

2102

476

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2028?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

211613

OptionVotes

YES

2047

791

Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?

Aug 9, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.95%chance

101567

OptionVotes

YES

1392

718

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

12%chance

301458

OptionVotes

YES

1662

873

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.33%chance

241227

OptionVotes

YES

1517

626

Will the U.S. have a central bank digital currency by 2030?

Mar 23, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.35%chance

12775

OptionVotes

YES

1576

548

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2033?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.37%chance

20708

OptionVotes

YES

1071

941

Will the UK have a central bank digital currency by the end of 2027?

Feb 7, 4:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.85%chance

12427

OptionVotes

YES

466

140

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

17311

OptionVotes

YES

1089

904

"Britcoin" by 2030?

Feb 10, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

14277

OptionVotes

YES

1030

974

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What significant changes in modern life will occur by the year 2030? [add answers]

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2028?

Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Will the U.S. have a central bank digital currency by 2030?

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2033?

Will the UK have a central bank digital currency by the end of 2027?

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?

"Britcoin" by 2030?

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