OptionProbability
No never
Yes by 2030
Yes by 2028
Yes by 2025
68
7
5
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1944
515
1329
901
Democrats win back the house in 2026 midterm election
Generative AI becomes permanent part of our daily lives permanently
A country officially transitions to 100% renewable energy for electricity.
The world population reaches 8.5 billion people.
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is officially recognized by a major research body.
A major conflict involves a direct military clash between two nuclear-armed states.
A major international treaty on AI regulation is signed.
A significant cure or treatment for a major cancer type is widely deployed.
A major global economy adopts a central bank digital currency (CBDC).
A permanent base is established on the Moon.
A commercial fusion reactor successfully provides power to a grid.
The first widespread commercial use of brain-computer interfaces occurs.
Post-WW2 international orders die and abolish
A global pandemic is declared by the WHO.
World War 3 occurs
Another global covid-like pandemic
UN and WHO dissolves and abolishes
Anti-AI movement abolishes and defuncts all AI technologies and infrastructures
Global far-right regime in all countries worldwide
A human lands on Mars.
92
86
82
76
61
54
52
51
44
24
23
17
15
13
10
8
6
2027
2028
2026
2025
2029
2030 or later
Other
66
11
1
188
53