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Prediction markets for Digital Marketing

CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?

Feb 21, 11:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.25%chance

88136210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17850

564

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.54%chance

17534125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14201

7469

Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?

Dec 13, 7:58 PMJan 1, 3:00 AM

13.36%chance

15429506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4091

1496

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

8211323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1433

1170

Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?

Jan 3, 7:52 PMFeb 28, 7:51 PM

50.76%chance

7610479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

216

182

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?

Oct 30, 12:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.67%chance

1066584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2853

1798

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.76%chance

836178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

1135

Which digital currency will have the highest market capitalization by 2028?

Mar 9, 12:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

293252

OptionProbability

Bitcoin

Other

Ethereum

Solana

Cardano

Binance Coin

XRP

91

7

1

0

0

0

0

Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035?

May 21, 11:25 AMMay 25, 3:59 PM

52.41%chance

181709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

953

Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB

Jan 23, 11:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.38%chance

121270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1365

807

Will the Identity Verification market have grown faster than Digital Payments by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.71%chance

457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

80

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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