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Prediction markets for Digital Marketing

Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?

Dec 13, 7:58 PMJan 1, 3:00 AM

13.05%chance

15329494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4170

1484

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

8211323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1433

1170

Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?

Jan 3, 7:52 PMFeb 28, 7:51 PM

45.74%chance

7510384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

197

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?

Oct 30, 12:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.67%chance

1066584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2853

1798

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.76%chance

836178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

1135

Which digital currency will have the highest market capitalization by 2028?

Mar 9, 12:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

283152

OptionProbability

Bitcoin

Other

Ethereum

Solana

Cardano

Binance Coin

XRP

90

8

1

0

0

0

0

Winds of Winter released before 2027?

Apr 21, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.42%chance

233108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

19

Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035?

May 21, 11:25 AMMay 25, 3:59 PM

52.41%chance

181709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

953

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?

Feb 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.79%chance

271683

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

690

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

38.12%chance

191260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

570

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.32%chance

12941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1553

644

Will the Identity Verification market have grown faster than Digital Payments by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.71%chance

457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

80

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