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Prediction markets for Digital Marketing

Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?

Dec 13, 7:58 PMJan 1, 3:00 AM

8.07%chance

15129276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6080

1265

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.28%chance

8111222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

1334

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?

Oct 30, 12:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.67%chance

1066584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2853

1798

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.76%chance

836178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

1135

9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

12.54%chance

353563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2641

379

Which digital currency will have the highest market capitalization by 2028?

Mar 9, 12:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

283076

OptionProbability

Bitcoin

Other

Ethereum

Solana

Cardano

Binance Coin

XRP

89

9

1

0

0

0

0

Winds of Winter released before 2027?

Apr 21, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

132360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035?

May 21, 11:25 AMMay 25, 3:59 PM

52.41%chance

181709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

953

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Who will first be fined under the Digital Markets Act?

Feb 16, 6:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32876

OptionProbability

Amazon

Apple

Meta

Booking.com

Other

Microsoft

Alphabet

ByteDance

None by closing

51

33

6

4

4

1

0

0

0

Will the Identity Verification market have grown faster than Digital Payments by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.71%chance

457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

80

What rank in views will The Amazing Digital Circus Finale get?

Dec 1, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

1st-3rd

4th-6th

7th-9th

33

33

33

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