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Prediction markets for Digital Markets Unit

Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?

Mar 1, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.66%chance

221222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

36

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Jan 3, 5:25 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

15.4%chance

10810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

692

145

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Will the BRICS nations officially launch a common digital settlement currency for international trade by the end of 2026

Feb 2, 11:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

7141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Mar 22, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

When will freedom.gov go live?

Mar 4, 5:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

241

OptionProbability

May 1, 2026 – August 31, 2026

On or Before April 30, 2026

September 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Jan 1, 2027 +

56

16

16

13

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