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Prediction markets for Digital Media

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

954

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

20.68%chance

122555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1958

511

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?

Jan 13, 11:11 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

92.57%chance

342218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2019

836

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?

Jan 15, 9:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

90.81%chance

342133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

959

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

75.61%chance

351625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

947

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2029?

Jan 16, 1:24 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

85.97%chance

281437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

927

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2028?

Jan 16, 10:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

80.88%chance

251027

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

898

Will an English encyclopedia exceeding 15 billion words be created before May 2028?

May 23, 10:15 PMMay 1, 7:00 AM

24.54%chance

24710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1312

868

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

765

Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card

Jan 21, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11380

OptionProbability

Measles cases triple

Cyber terrorism incident

Blue wave midterms

AI slop completely takes over platforms

More assassinations

Obesity rates dramatically decline

Chain movie theaters close across the country

More governments embrace Bitcoin

Really bad hurricane season

AI bubble pops (but it's not that bad)

Americans become more united

Trump has (another?) stroke

A major merger of streaming services

Solar power doubles

Emo makes a comeback

YouTube surpasses Netflix in paid subscribers

Stagflation

Gen Alpha rebels against digital media

EV sales skyrocket

Twitter shuts down

Robot restaurant trend

A new nonpartisan political movement starts

War with Venezuela

Everyone becomes a hipster

80

72

66

66

66

66

50

50

45

41

41

37

34

34

34

34

24

24

24

24

24

21

17

17

"Britcoin" by 2030?

Feb 10, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

14277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

974

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Mar 9, 5:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.33%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

938

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